How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pirmasens, at 58.7%. The other outcomes represent 41.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.7% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 23.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pirmasens 1726; Gonsenheim 1613. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Pirmasens
Elo 1726
4
-
1
Gonsenheim
Elo 1613
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+113
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Pirmasens1726
Gonsenheim1613
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Pirmasens
0Draws
0Gonsenheim
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
59%
Draw
18%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
35%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.