Aumund-Vegesack vs OSC Bremerhaven

Oberliga - Bremen · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is OSC Bremerhaven, at 60.5%. The other outcomes represent 39.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 23% · Draw: 16.5% · Away win: 60.5%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Aumund-Vegesack 1484; OSC Bremerhaven 1701. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Oberliga - Bremen · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 12:00
Aumund-Vegesack
Elo 1484
0 - 3
OSC Bremerhaven
Elo 1701
FT HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Away Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Elo Advantage
-217

Elo rating comparison

Aumund-Vegesack1484
OSC Bremerhaven1701

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Aumund-Vegesack
—Draws
—OSC Bremerhaven

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
61% conf. CORRECT
Home
23%
Draw
16%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
70% conf. WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf. WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf. CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf. CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
40% conf. WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
40%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf. CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf. CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf. WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf. CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%

How to read these predictions

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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