How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Groningen U21, at 51.0%. The other outcomes represent 49.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 28.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Groningen U21 1581; Willem II U21 1497. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U21 Divisie 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Groningen U21
Elo 1581
4
-
2
Willem II U21
Elo 1497
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+84
H2H (8)
1H
6D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Groningen U211581
Willem II U211497
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Groningen U21
6Draws
1Willem II U21
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
21%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
32%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.