How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ayia Napa, at 37.6%. The other outcomes represent 62.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.6% · Draw: 25.5% · Away win: 36.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ayia Napa 1470; Digenis Morphou 1548. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Division · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Ayia Napa
Elo 1470
2
-
1
Digenis Morphou
Elo 1548
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-78
Elo rating comparison
Ayia Napa1470
Digenis Morphou1548
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ayia Napa
—Draws
—Digenis Morphou
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
26%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
37%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.