How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is PAEEK, at 54.6%. The other outcomes represent 45.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.4% · Draw: 20% · Away win: 54.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: MEAP Nisou 1410; PAEEK 1612. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Division · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
MEAP Nisou
Elo 1410
0
-
2
PAEEK
Elo 1612
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-202
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
MEAP Nisou1410
PAEEK1612
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0MEAP Nisou
0Draws
4PAEEK
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
20%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
34%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.