How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kozara Gradiška, at 57.1%. The other outcomes represent 42.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.1% · Draw: 25.2% · Away win: 17.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kozara Gradiška 1469; Zvijezda 09 1395. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1st League - RS · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Kozara Gradiška
Elo 1469
2
-
0
Zvijezda 09
Elo 1395
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+74
Elo rating comparison
Kozara Gradiška1469
Zvijezda 091395
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kozara Gradiška
—Draws
—Zvijezda 09
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
25%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
42%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.