How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Honka W, at 68.1%. The other outcomes represent 31.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.1% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 13.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Honka W 1550; JyPK W 1181. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Kansallinen Liiga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
Honka W
Elo 1550
3
-
0
JyPK W
Elo 1181
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+369
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Honka W1550
JyPK W1181
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Honka W
0Draws
0JyPK W
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
CORRECT
Home
68%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Half-Time Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
64%
Draw
26%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.