How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Maccabi Yavne, at 43.7%. The other outcomes represent 56.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.9% · Draw: 29.4% · Away win: 43.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Marmorek 1465; Maccabi Yavne 1628. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 17:00
Hapoel Marmorek
Elo 1465
1
-
1
Maccabi Yavne
Elo 1628
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-164
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Marmorek1465
Maccabi Yavne1628
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hapoel Marmorek
—Draws
—Maccabi Yavne
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
29%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
43%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.