How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Târgu Secuiesc, at 62.0%. The other outcomes represent 38.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.7% · Draw: 17.3% · Away win: 62%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 1413; Târgu Secuiesc 1616. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Elo 1413
0
-
2
Târgu Secuiesc
Elo 1616
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-203
Elo rating comparison
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ1413
Târgu Secuiesc1616
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
—Draws
—Târgu Secuiesc
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
17%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
27%
Away
55%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.