How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Axiopolis, at 54.4%. The other outcomes represent 45.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27% · Draw: 18.6% · Away win: 54.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Portul Constanta 1409; Axiopolis 1457. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–6. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 4 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Portul Constanta
Elo 1409
1
-
6
Axiopolis
Elo 1457
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-47
Elo rating comparison
Portul Constanta1409
Axiopolis1457
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Portul Constanta
—Draws
—Axiopolis
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
19%
Away
54%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
33%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.