How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sporting Lieşti, at 62.9%. The other outcomes represent 37.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.9% · Draw: 16.6% · Away win: 20.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sporting Lieşti 1634; Recolta Gheorghe Doja 1445. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 7–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 4 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Sporting Lieşti
Elo 1634
7
-
0
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Elo 1445
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+189
Elo rating comparison
Sporting Lieşti1634
Recolta Gheorghe Doja1445
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sporting Lieşti
—Draws
—Recolta Gheorghe Doja
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
17%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
32%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.