How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Unirea Alba Iulia, at 80.4%. The other outcomes represent 19.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 80.4% · Draw: 13.1% · Away win: 6.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Unirea Alba Iulia 1870; Progresul Pecica 1507. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 7 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Unirea Alba Iulia
Elo 1870
4
-
0
Progresul Pecica
Elo 1507
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+364
Elo rating comparison
Unirea Alba Iulia1870
Progresul Pecica1507
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Unirea Alba Iulia
—Draws
—Progresul Pecica
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
80% conf.
CORRECT
Home
80%
Draw
13%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
94% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
6%
No
94%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance 1X
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
100%
No
0%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Half-Time Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
Draw
24%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.