How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mitundu Baptist, at 66.1%. The other outcomes represent 33.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66.1% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 13.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mitundu Baptist 1529; MAFCO 1467. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Mitundu Baptist
Elo 1529
2
-
0
MAFCO
Elo 1467
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+62
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Mitundu Baptist1529
MAFCO1467
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Mitundu Baptist
2Draws
0MAFCO
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
Draw
21%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
34%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.