Rijnsburgse Boys vs RKAV Volendam

Tweede Divisie · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 12:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rijnsburgse Boys, at 57.1%. The other outcomes represent 42.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 57.1% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 24.8%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Rijnsburgse Boys 1688; RKAV Volendam 1617. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Tweede Divisie · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 12:30
Rijnsburgse Boys
Elo 1688
0 - 1
RKAV Volendam
Elo 1617
FT HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W 0D 4L
Away Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Elo Advantage
+71
H2H (2)
2H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Rijnsburgse Boys1688
RKAV Volendam1617

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

2Rijnsburgse Boys
0Draws
0RKAV Volendam

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
57% conf. WRONG
Home
57%
Draw
18%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
70% conf. WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf. WRONG
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf. WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
46% conf. WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
32%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf. CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf. WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf. WRONG
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf. WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf. WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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