How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Essingen, at 40.7%. The other outcomes represent 59.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.7% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 35.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Essingen 1534; Backnang 1574. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–5. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:30
Essingen
Elo 1534
3
-
5
Backnang
Elo 1574
FT
HT 1-3
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-40
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Essingen1534
Backnang1574
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Essingen
0Draws
0Backnang
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
24%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
39%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.