How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Excelsior Maassluis, at 79.9%. The other outcomes represent 20.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 79.9% · Draw: 13% · Away win: 7.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Excelsior Maassluis 1683; EVV 1340. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Derde Divisie · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:30
Excelsior Maassluis
Elo 1683
1
-
0
EVV
Elo 1340
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+343
Elo rating comparison
Excelsior Maassluis1683
EVV1340
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Excelsior Maassluis
—Draws
—EVV
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
80% conf.
CORRECT
Home
80%
Draw
13%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
55%
Draw
31%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.