How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Noordwijk, at 78.7%. The other outcomes represent 21.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 78.7% · Draw: 13.5% · Away win: 7.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Noordwijk 1651; GOES 1362. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Derde Divisie · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:30
Noordwijk
Elo 1651
3
-
2
GOES
Elo 1362
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+289
H2H (5)
4H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Noordwijk1651
GOES1362
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Noordwijk
0Draws
1GOES
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
79% conf.
CORRECT
Home
79%
Draw
14%
Away
8%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Half-Time Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
Draw
34%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.