How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Petržalka, at 62.0%. The other outcomes represent 38.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 18.3% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 62%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1674; Petržalka 1874. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. liga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:45
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Elo 1674
1
-
0
Petržalka
Elo 1874
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-199
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom1674
Petržalka1874
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
0Draws
2Petržalka
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
34%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.