How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vard, at 65.3%. The other outcomes represent 34.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.5% · Draw: 15.3% · Away win: 65.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fyllingsdalen 1229; Vard 1585. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 3 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Fyllingsdalen
Elo 1229
1
-
4
Vard
Elo 1585
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-357
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Fyllingsdalen1229
Vard1585
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Fyllingsdalen
0Draws
1Vard
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
15%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
61%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.