How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Harstad, at 47.6%. The other outcomes represent 52.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.4% · Draw: 20% · Away win: 47.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Finnsnes 1441; Harstad 1572. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 5 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Finnsnes
Elo 1441
2
-
3
Harstad
Elo 1572
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-131
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Finnsnes1441
Harstad1572
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Finnsnes
0Draws
1Harstad
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
20%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
Draw
33%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.