How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lillehammer, at 65.9%. The other outcomes represent 34.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 18.8% · Draw: 15.2% · Away win: 65.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fram 1463; Lillehammer 1677. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 6 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Fram
Elo 1463
3
-
2
Lillehammer
Elo 1677
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-215
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Fram1463
Lillehammer1677
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Fram
0Draws
2Lillehammer
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
15%
Away
66%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
36%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.