How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is the draw, at 37.3%. The other outcomes represent 62.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.8% · Draw: 37.3% · Away win: 34.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cagliari 1868; Bologna 1907. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Cagliari
Elo 1868
0
-
2
Bologna
Elo 1907
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
5D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-39
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Cagliari1868
Bologna1907
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Cagliari
2Draws
0Bologna
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 3.11
Draw
37%
@ 3.05
Away
35%
@ 2.44
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.84
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.55
No
47%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.37
No
27%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
@ 3.74
Draw
52%
@ 2.01
Away
27%
@ 3.06
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
@ 1.46
No
43%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.36
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.