How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Como, at 66.0%. The other outcomes represent 34.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 15.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Como 2150; Sassuolo 1888. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Como
Elo 2150
2
-
0
Sassuolo
Elo 1888
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+262
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Como2150
Sassuolo1888
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Como
0Draws
2Sassuolo
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
@ 1.44
Draw
18%
@ 4.64
Away
16%
@ 6.56
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.69
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.11
No
7%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
@ 1.89
Draw
33%
@ 2.54
Away
13%
@ 5.91
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
@ 1.27
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
@ 1.14
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
@ 1.51
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 2.31
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.