How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bologna U20, at 49.1%. The other outcomes represent 50.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.1% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 25.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bologna U20 1594; Empoli U20 1479. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Campionato Primavera - 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Bologna U20
Elo 1594
3
-
1
Empoli U20
Elo 1479
FT
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+115
Elo rating comparison
Bologna U201594
Empoli U201479
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bologna U20
—Draws
—Empoli U20
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
33%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.