Feirense vs Benfica B

Segunda Liga · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Benfica B, at 37.7%. The other outcomes represent 62.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 31.9% · Draw: 30.4% · Away win: 37.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Feirense 1569; Benfica B 1725. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Segunda Liga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 13:00
Feirense
Elo 1569
0 - 0
Benfica B
Elo 1725
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Away Form (5)
0W 2D 3L
Elo Advantage
-156
H2H (2)
0H 0D 2A

Elo rating comparison

Feirense1569
Benfica B1725

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Feirense
0Draws
2Benfica B

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
38% conf. WRONG
Home
32%
@ 2.54
Draw
30%
@ 3.15
Away
38%
@ 2.62
Both Teams to Score
57% conf. WRONG
Yes
57%
@ 1.79
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf. WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf. WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf. CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.44
No
46%
Double Chance X2
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.44
No
31%
Half-Time Result
42% conf. CORRECT
Home
25%
@ 3.23
Draw
42%
@ 2.09
Away
33%
@ 3.26
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf. WRONG
Yes
63%
@ 1.41
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf. WRONG
Yes
72%
@ 1.31
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.