How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ijsselmeervogels, at 37.9%. The other outcomes represent 62.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.9% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 36.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ijsselmeervogels 1638; Spakenburg 1712. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tweede Divisie · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Ijsselmeervogels
Elo 1638
2
-
1
Spakenburg
Elo 1712
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-73
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Ijsselmeervogels1638
Spakenburg1712
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ijsselmeervogels
0Draws
2Spakenburg
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
25%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
36%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.