How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FK Minyor Pernik, at 56.6%. The other outcomes represent 43.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.8% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 56.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Slivnishki geroy 1465; FK Minyor Pernik 1653. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Third League - Southwest · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
Slivnishki geroy
Elo 1465
0
-
0
FK Minyor Pernik
Elo 1653
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
-188
Elo rating comparison
Slivnishki geroy1465
FK Minyor Pernik1653
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Slivnishki geroy
—Draws
—FK Minyor Pernik
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
22%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
35%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.