How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is ZESCO United, at 61.2%. The other outcomes represent 38.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.2% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 10.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: ZESCO United 1633; Mutondo Stars 1491. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:00
ZESCO United
Elo 1633
5
-
0
Mutondo Stars
Elo 1491
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+143
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
ZESCO United1633
Mutondo Stars1491
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0ZESCO United
0Draws
1Mutondo Stars
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
Draw
28%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
42%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.