How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sunrise, at 57.7%. The other outcomes represent 42.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.7% · Draw: 22.5% · Away win: 19.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sunrise 1463; Etoile de l'Est 1414. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National Soccer League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Sunrise
Elo 1463
1
-
1
Etoile de l'Est
Elo 1414
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+49
Elo rating comparison
Sunrise1463
Etoile de l'Est1414
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sunrise
—Draws
—Etoile de l'Est
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
44%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.