How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AFC Amsterdam, at 39.9%. The other outcomes represent 60.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.9% · Draw: 26.2% · Away win: 33.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AFC Amsterdam 1663; Almere City II 1682. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tweede Divisie · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:15
AFC Amsterdam
Elo 1663
0
-
1
Almere City II
Elo 1682
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-19
Elo rating comparison
AFC Amsterdam1663
Almere City II1682
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—AFC Amsterdam
—Draws
—Almere City II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
26%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
37%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.