How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stal Mielec, at 37.2%. The other outcomes represent 62.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.2% · Draw: 26.2% · Away win: 36.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stal Mielec 1599; Chrobry Głogów 1648. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
I Liga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:30
Stal Mielec
Elo 1599
0
-
0
Chrobry Głogów
Elo 1648
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-49
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Stal Mielec1599
Chrobry Głogów1648
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Stal Mielec
0Draws
2Chrobry Głogów
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
26%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
38%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.