How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SC Paderborn 07, at 39.2%. The other outcomes represent 60.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.2% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 36.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SC Paderborn 07 1993; Hamburger SV 1978. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Bundesliga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:30
SC Paderborn 07
Elo 1993
1
-
0
Hamburger SV
Elo 1978
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+15
Elo rating comparison
SC Paderborn 071993
Hamburger SV1978
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—SC Paderborn 07
—Draws
—Hamburger SV
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
@ 2.32
Draw
24%
@ 3.65
Away
37%
@ 2.79
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.49
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.42
No
36%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
@ 1.60
No
35%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
@ 2.81
Draw
36%
@ 2.36
Away
33%
@ 3.21
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
@ 1.27
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
@ 1.15
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
@ 1.58
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.