How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bala Town, at 47.2%. The other outcomes represent 52.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.1% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 47.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Llanuwchllyn 1477; Bala Town 1634. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FAW Championship · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:30
Llanuwchllyn
Elo 1477
3
-
3
Bala Town
Elo 1634
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-157
Elo rating comparison
Llanuwchllyn1477
Bala Town1634
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Llanuwchllyn
—Draws
—Bala Town
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
36%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.