How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hungry Lions, at 75.7%. The other outcomes represent 24.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75.7% · Draw: 15.4% · Away win: 8.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hungry Lions 1614; Venda FC 1394. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1st Division · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:30
Hungry Lions
Elo 1614
1
-
0
Venda FC
Elo 1394
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+220
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Hungry Lions1614
Venda FC1394
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Hungry Lions
0Draws
0Venda FC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
CORRECT
Home
76%
Draw
15%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
55%
Draw
34%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.