How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Raith Rovers, at 45.1%. The other outcomes represent 54.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.1% · Draw: 27.7% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Raith Rovers 1769; Inverness CT 1756. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Raith Rovers
Elo 1769
0
-
2
Inverness CT
Elo 1756
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+12
H2H (6)
6H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Raith Rovers1769
Inverness CT1756
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
6Raith Rovers
0Draws
0Inverness CT
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
28%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
42%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.