AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe

League One · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Wycombe, at 45.2%. The other outcomes represent 54.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 26.8% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 45.2%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: AFC Wimbledon 1607; Wycombe 1756. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

League One · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 14:00
AFC Wimbledon
Elo 1607
1 - 1
Wycombe
Elo 1756
FT HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Away Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Elo Advantage
-148

Elo rating comparison

AFC Wimbledon1607
Wycombe1756

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—AFC Wimbledon
—Draws
—Wycombe

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
45% conf. WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf. CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
42% conf. WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
42%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf. CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf. CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf. CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf. WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf. CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.