How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Jahn Regensburg II, at 46.7%. The other outcomes represent 53.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.5% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 46.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Großbardorf 1452; Jahn Regensburg II 1593. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Bayern Nord · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Großbardorf
Elo 1452
4
-
3
Jahn Regensburg II
Elo 1593
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-140
Elo rating comparison
Großbardorf1452
Jahn Regensburg II1593
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Großbardorf
—Draws
—Jahn Regensburg II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
21%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
34%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.