How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Brühl, at 53.2%. The other outcomes represent 46.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.2% · Draw: 19.8% · Away win: 27.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Brühl 1649; Zürich II 1575. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Liga Promotion · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Brühl
Elo 1649
3
-
1
Zürich II
Elo 1575
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+75
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Brühl1649
Zürich II1575
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Brühl
0Draws
0Zürich II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
53%
Draw
20%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
41%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.