How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Boreham Wood, at 74.1%. The other outcomes represent 25.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 74.1% · Draw: 13.7% · Away win: 12.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Boreham Wood 1928; AFC Fylde 1767. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Boreham Wood
Elo 1928
4
-
0
AFC Fylde
Elo 1767
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+161
Elo rating comparison
Boreham Wood1928
AFC Fylde1767
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Boreham Wood
—Draws
—AFC Fylde
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
74% conf.
CORRECT
Home
74%
@ 1.35
Draw
14%
@ 5.04
Away
12%
@ 6.41
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.48
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
@ 1.09
No
11%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
64%
@ 1.77
Draw
23%
@ 2.81
Away
12%
@ 5.67
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.17
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
@ 1.07
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.30
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.79
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.