How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Carlisle, at 40.3%. The other outcomes represent 59.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.9% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 40.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Solihull Moors 1536; Carlisle 1780. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Solihull Moors
Elo 1536
1
-
2
Carlisle
Elo 1780
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-244
Elo rating comparison
Solihull Moors1536
Carlisle1780
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Solihull Moors
—Draws
—Carlisle
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
@ 4.05
Draw
24%
@ 4.01
Away
40%
@ 1.67
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.48
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 2.05
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.21
No
30%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
@ 4.30
Draw
38%
@ 2.49
Away
39%
@ 2.14
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.22
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.12
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.45
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 2.13
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.