How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Southend, at 62.3%. The other outcomes represent 37.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.3% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 16.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Southend 1799; FC Halifax Town 1743. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Southend
Elo 1799
2
-
2
FC Halifax Town
Elo 1743
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+56
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Southend1799
FC Halifax Town1743
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Southend
0Draws
0FC Halifax Town
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
WRONG
Home
62%
@ 1.60
Draw
21%
@ 4.03
Away
17%
@ 4.47
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.56
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.16
No
16%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
@ 2.11
Draw
34%
@ 2.48
Away
17%
@ 4.61
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
@ 1.21
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
@ 1.13
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.49
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.