How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is South Shields, at 47.5%. The other outcomes represent 52.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.5% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 27.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: South Shields 1781; Chester 1724. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League - North · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
South Shields
Elo 1781
3
-
1
Chester
Elo 1724
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+56
Elo rating comparison
South Shields1781
Chester1724
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—South Shields
—Draws
—Chester
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
25%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
39%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.