How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is UNAM Pumas U21, at 41.5%. The other outcomes represent 58.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.5% · Draw: 28.4% · Away win: 30.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: UNAM Pumas U21 1535; Tigres UANL U21 1533. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga MX U21 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
UNAM Pumas U21
Elo 1535
1
-
0
Tigres UANL U21
Elo 1533
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+3
Elo rating comparison
UNAM Pumas U211535
Tigres UANL U211533
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—UNAM Pumas U21
—Draws
—Tigres UANL U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
28%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
39%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.