How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rebel, at 44.4%. The other outcomes represent 55.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.4% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 30.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rebel 1482; SC Poltava 2 1471. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Druha Liga · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 09:45
Rebel
Elo 1482
3
-
0
SC Poltava 2
Elo 1471
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+11
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Rebel1482
SC Poltava 21471
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Rebel
0Draws
4SC Poltava 2
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
45%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.