How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Naters, at 39.0%. The other outcomes represent 61.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 37.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Naters 1530; Lancy 1536. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Naters
Elo 1530
2
-
1
Lancy
Elo 1536
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-6
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Naters1530
Lancy1536
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Naters
0Draws
0Lancy
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
23%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
37%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.