How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tuggen, at 51.6%. The other outcomes represent 48.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.8% · Draw: 20.6% · Away win: 51.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Winterthur II 1526; Tuggen 1705. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Winterthur II
Elo 1526
1
-
3
Tuggen
Elo 1705
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-179
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Winterthur II1526
Tuggen1705
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Winterthur II
0Draws
0Tuggen
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
21%
Away
52%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
38%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.