How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Concordia Basel, at 42.4%. The other outcomes represent 57.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.4% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 42.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Buochs 1563; Concordia Basel 1678. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Buochs
Elo 1563
1
-
0
Concordia Basel
Elo 1678
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-115
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Buochs1563
Concordia Basel1678
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Buochs
2Draws
0Concordia Basel
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
40%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.