How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Muri-Gümligen, at 46.6%. The other outcomes represent 53.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.6% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 32.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Muri-Gümligen 1518; Münsingen 1486. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Muri-Gümligen
Elo 1518
1
-
0
Münsingen
Elo 1486
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+32
Elo rating comparison
Muri-Gümligen1518
Münsingen1486
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Muri-Gümligen
—Draws
—Münsingen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
21%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
31%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
WRONG
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.