How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Andratx, at 72.3%. The other outcomes represent 27.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.3% · Draw: 18.5% · Away win: 9.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Andratx 1552; Migjorn 1302. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Andratx
Elo 1552
4
-
4
Migjorn
Elo 1302
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+251
Elo rating comparison
Andratx1552
Migjorn1302
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Andratx
—Draws
—Migjorn
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
WRONG
Home
72%
Draw
19%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Half-Time Result
60% conf.
WRONG
Home
60%
Draw
30%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.