How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Morupule Wanderers, at 37.5%. The other outcomes represent 62.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.9% · Draw: 29.6% · Away win: 37.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: BDF XI 1456; Morupule Wanderers 1591. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 14:00
BDF XI
Elo 1456
2
-
2
Morupule Wanderers
Elo 1591
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-135
Elo rating comparison
BDF XI1456
Morupule Wanderers1591
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—BDF XI
—Draws
—Morupule Wanderers
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
30%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
38%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.